Chubby-Clavicle
0x2a9a981c3a4be07d068b517dbd06d863ddab10ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$399.32
Total PnL
$69.48
Realised
$29.08
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
107 shares @ 70.9¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$98.53
$22.96
- NO
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
105 shares @ 80.6¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$95.17
$10.36
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
74 shares @ 52.2¢·now 75.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$55.63
$17.13
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
54 shares @ 83.7¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$50.19
$4.80
- NO
Will Target Q1 comparable sales growth be below -1%?
90 shares @ 33.7¢·now 34.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$31.04
$0.74
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 18?
30 shares @ 66.0¢·now 76.8¢·exp May 18, 2026$23.02
$3.22
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
24 shares @ 64.6¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$16.52
$1.16
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?
15 shares @ 72.0¢·now 71.7¢·exp May 19, 2026$10.75
$-0.05
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
54 shares @ 11.8¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$8.42
$2.02
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
6 shares @ 93.0¢·now 93.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.82
$0.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?$0.00May 18, 08:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?$0.00May 18, 08:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?$0.00May 18, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?$0.00May 18, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 18?$19.80May 18, 06:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?$0.00May 18, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?$0.00May 18, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?$3.60May 18, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?$3.60May 18, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$7.18May 18, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?$3.67May 18, 05:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?$0.00May 18, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?$0.00May 18, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?$0.00May 18, 04:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?$0.00May 18, 04:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?$0.00May 18, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?$0.00May 18, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?$0.00May 18, 02:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?$0.00May 18, 02:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?$0.00May 18, 01:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $5.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 16:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".