Liquid-Incentive
0x2ad50b635527b821d2608e617bd4a9a2a608d434
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$12.2K
Total PnL
$-68.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
70000 shares @ 36.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$12.2K
$-12.9K
- YES
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
118160 shares @ 40.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-47.5K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on September 29?
13258 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.1K
- YES
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
11619 shares @ 43.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.0K
- YES
Bitcoin above $120,000 on July 23?
10950 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2025$0.00
$-54.75
- YES
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?
6000 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-780.00
- YES
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
20 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$5.5KFeb 6, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$2.7KFeb 6, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?$32.50Dec 30, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?$2.56Dec 30, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?$744.94Dec 30, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$79.90Dec 21, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$6.21Dec 21, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$8.10Dec 21, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$79.90Dec 21, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$58.99Dec 21, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$933.50Dec 21, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$9.40Dec 20, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$71.13Dec 20, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$5.19Dec 20, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$166.46Dec 20, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$4.70Dec 20, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$1.0KDec 20, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$2.3KDec 20, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$13.32Dec 20, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$4.7KDec 19, 10:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 27, 22:41 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 6, 15:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".