Polite-Payoff
0x2addb26c9986d137215b435a4af66c1c6c6b9b43
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$3.6K
Total PnL
$-972.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
7471 shares @ 28.8¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.7K
$-472.57
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?
3432 shares @ 20.9¢·now 22.4¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$767.11
$50.49
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
1509 shares @ 36.8¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$581.06
$25.19
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?
7489 shares @ 12.0¢·now 6.7¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$497.99
$-399.35
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?
1703 shares @ 4.0¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$89.42
$21.32
- YES
Will Russell Henley win the 2026 RBC Heritage?
1543 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-97.22
- YES
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?
510 shares @ 19.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?$10.40May 18, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?$6.20May 18, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?$140.28May 18, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$4.30May 18, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$3.04May 18, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$356.29May 18, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?$0.78May 18, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?$15.17May 18, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?$1.93May 18, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?$0.07May 18, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?$8.10May 18, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?$82.56May 18, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?$6.00May 18, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?$2.80May 18, 00:46 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$7.08May 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$3.06May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?$1.06May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?$0.21May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$1.81May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$3.30May 18, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $17.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 00:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 02:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".