Wan-Button
0x2b321580e2e51cbfb647b5a92185227551bce021
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$248.06
Total PnL
$-88.19
Realised
$-0.85
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
41 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$40.71
$0.79
- NO
Will Google have the second highest estimated revenue for May 11–May 17, 2026?
40 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 17, 2026$40.10
$0.18
- NO
Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 4m?
40 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$40.02
$0.10
- NO
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
40 shares @ 98.9¢·now 98.9¢·exp May 17, 2026$39.92
$0.00
- NO
Will Gary Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
40 shares @ 99.1¢·now 94.3¢·exp May 16, 2026$38.00
$-1.92
- NO
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
24 shares @ 98.7¢·now 92.1¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$22.40
$-1.60
- NO
Will the total number of TSA passengers for May 11 - May 17 be less than 16,500,000?
26 shares @ 99.5¢·now 57.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$14.98
$-10.94
- NO
Will Alex Vanopslagh be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
12 shares @ 98.1¢·now 99.4¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$11.93
$0.16
- NO
Will Trump say "Discombobulator" or "Discombobulated" in April?
27 shares @ 98.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-26.73
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 7?
12 shares @ 97.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-11.75
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill "No Kit" be said during the IEM Atlanta 2026 Grand Finals?$40.36May 18, 03:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill a new Gemini flagship be released by May 15, 2026?$34.46May 18, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 4m?$39.94May 17, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill John Fleming finish first in the first round of the Louisiana Republican Senate primary?$40.73May 17, 05:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lithuania win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$27.27May 17, 04:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win Eurovision 2026?$40.45May 17, 03:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$40.49May 17, 03:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Tonight" be said during Eurovision?$20.00May 17, 03:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Romania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$40.61May 17, 02:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$40.65May 17, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for May 11 - May 17 be less than 16,500,000?$25.93May 16, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "No Kit" be said during the IEM Atlanta 2026 Grand Finals?$39.94May 16, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$39.92May 16, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second highest estimated revenue for May 11–May 17, 2026?$39.94May 16, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$40.16May 16, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$40.00May 16, 06:49 UTC
- REDEEMSinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?$40.04May 16, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Keiko Fujimori and Jorge Nieto advance to the runoff?$22.00May 16, 06:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alfonso López Chau finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$22.00May 16, 04:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$22.00May 16, 04:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $37.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 20:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 03:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".