Somber-Ice
0x2b670a311561dcaf741d8155451774d3fa7fb814
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$2.4K
Total PnL
$546.57
Realised
$116.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
3831 shares @ 16.6¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.1K
$455.68
- YES
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
3939 shares @ 22.4¢·now 22.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$866.50
$-15.88
- YES
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?
925 shares @ 53.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$481.05
$-9.25
Recent activity
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Pistons$550.00May 18, 05:57 UTC
- TRADESELLEbola case in the US by June 30?$36.08May 18, 04:34 UTC
- TRADESELLEbola case in the US by June 30?$20.00May 18, 04:08 UTC
- TRADESELLEbola case in the US by June 30?$8.76May 18, 04:07 UTC
- TRADESELLEbola case in the US by June 30?$19.28May 18, 04:02 UTC
- TRADESELLEbola case in the US by June 30?$106.72May 18, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?$499.52May 18, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola case in the US by June 30?$26.52May 18, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola case in the US by June 30?$713.39May 18, 03:21 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.51May 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$212.89May 17, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?$10.08May 17, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?$1.60May 17, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?$95.99May 17, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?$212.08May 17, 23:09 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$9.79May 17, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?$345.48May 16, 01:30 UTC
- TRADESELLConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?$1.6KMay 16, 01:30 UTC
- TRADESELLConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?$961.92May 16, 01:29 UTC
- TRADESELLConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?$73.61May 16, 01:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $283.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 19:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".