Embarrassed-Juggernaut
0x2b76c1d12cd928b1d95a6d2c7f1e6f6e7f14edef
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$50.7K
Total PnL
$-24.6K
Realised
$-11.4K
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
33594 shares @ 79.3¢·now 89.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.9K
$3.3K
- YES
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
19965 shares @ 56.4¢·now 50.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.0K
$-1.3K
- NO
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
5188 shares @ 60.6¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.1K
$979.25
- NO
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
2191 shares @ 90.2¢·now 91.6¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$2.0K
$29.81
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
45000 shares @ 27.3¢·now 4.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.9K
$-10.4K
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
4041 shares @ 64.2¢·now 35.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.4K
$-1.2K
- YES
Kurds declare independence from Iran?
15276 shares @ 19.5¢·now 4.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$702.71
$-2.3K
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
2500 shares @ 12.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$237.52
$-62.51
- YES
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
25045 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$187.84
$-2.1K
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
162 shares @ 75.0¢·now 94.2¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$152.71
$31.06
Recent activity
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$2.1KMay 17, 08:08 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.5KMay 17, 07:40 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$5.27May 14, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$536.88May 13, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$539.44May 13, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$4.2KMay 10, 20:15 UTC
- REWARD$1.27May 7, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$3.3KMay 6, 03:38 UTC
- REWARD$12.90May 6, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$8.05May 5, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.7KMay 4, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.8KMay 4, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$0.20May 4, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$0.94May 4, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$38.64May 4, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$6.14May 4, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$32.16May 4, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$128.03May 4, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$7.17May 4, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$61.45May 4, 17:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $317.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 13:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 08:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".