Warped-Thermals
0x2bf21427f5034351692b7b83640f923d8323bace
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$64.27
Total PnL
$-8.95
Realised
$-2.42
Win rate
14%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
10 shares @ 97.7¢·now 98.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.09
$0.09
- NO
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
10 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.09
$0.09
- NO
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
10 shares @ 98.3¢·now 99.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
10 shares @ 97.8¢·now 97.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.91
$-0.09
- YES
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
832 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.07
$-2.08
- YES
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
507 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.83
$-0.76
- YES
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
108 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.35
$-0.70
- NO
Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.18
$0.08
- NO
Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in May?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.14
$0.04
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by May 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.10
$-0.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLHalle Berry as Storm?$0.52May 17, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYHalle Berry as Storm?$1.13May 17, 13:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.03May 17, 12:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.10May 17, 12:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.09May 17, 12:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.00May 17, 11:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.01May 17, 11:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.00May 17, 10:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.00May 17, 08:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.03May 17, 08:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.05May 17, 08:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.04May 17, 08:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.04May 17, 08:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.03May 17, 08:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.04May 17, 08:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.03May 17, 08:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.05May 17, 08:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.04May 17, 08:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.04May 17, 08:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $0.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 07:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".