Luxurious-Thief
0x2c0ec43f452495c6e28bd3e8b55e110bf3c31411
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
57
Open notional
$2.0K
Total PnL
$-9.3K
Realised
$-208.88
Win rate
67%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- NO
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
1704 shares @ 88.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.5K
$25.55
- NO
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
695 shares @ 65.1¢·now 54.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$378.77
$-74.02
- YES
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 42.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$84.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship?
987 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$11.35
$0.49
- YES
Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
100 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.05
$-22.95
- YES
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on November 28?
15554 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-31.15
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?
14000 shares @ 14.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
US forces in Venezuela by September 30?
10166 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Maduro out in 2025?
8100 shares @ 14.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 27?
6548 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-19.64
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship?$0.92May 18, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship?$0.92May 18, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship?$0.76May 18, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship?$1.11May 18, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship?$0.77May 18, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship?$0.87May 18, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship?$0.81May 18, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship?$0.71May 18, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship?$0.76May 18, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship?$0.86May 18, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship?$0.83May 18, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship?$0.71May 18, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship?$0.82May 18, 04:17 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.08May 16, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$240.85May 15, 01:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 15, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLAnthropic IPO before 2027?$268.00May 14, 14:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 14, 00:15 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.42May 13, 00:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $64.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 20:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".