Right-Hardship
0x2c1210a6404d6e46b22263a3cd2a0e3d5783d725
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-403.47
Realised
$227.02
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
968 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$968.00
$290.40
- NO
Over 4 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?
240 shares @ 9.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$82.78
$61.18
- YES
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?
1164 shares @ 14.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$52.38
$-110.58
- YES
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
159 shares @ 23.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$15.90
$-20.67
- YES
Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?
12 shares @ 31.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jan 10, 2027$9.31
$5.72
- OPENAI
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
831 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$6.23
$-101.80
- NO
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.76
$0.42
- NO
Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be less than 300k?
1770 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-336.30
- NO
Will PEAK win Better With Friends at the 2025 Steam Awards?
567 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-124.74
- YES
Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" while addressing the nation on December 17?
328 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-180.40
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill "The Great Divide" - Noah Kahan debut week album sales be at least 250k?$713.92Apr 27, 09:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Great Divide" - Noah Kahan debut week album sales be at least 250k?$621.92Apr 27, 09:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$100.98Apr 27, 08:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$69.70Apr 27, 08:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$31.96Apr 27, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$677.60Apr 23, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?$95.62Apr 23, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?$67.34Apr 23, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$190.72Apr 23, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Great Divide" - Noah Kahan debut week album sales be at least 250k?$349.20Apr 23, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Great Divide" - Noah Kahan debut week album sales be at least 250k?$304.20Apr 23, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLOver 4 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?$99.36Apr 21, 08:38 UTC
- TRADESELLOver 4 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?$59.04Apr 21, 03:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Ready or Not 2: Here I Come" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11.5m and 13m?$0.66Apr 15, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike 3 countries in March 2026?$0.81Apr 15, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Artemis II launch by April 30?$5.00Apr 15, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cason Wallace lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?$45.00Apr 15, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?$77.00Apr 15, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Ceará SC (-2.5)$296.50Apr 15, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$334.00Apr 15, 08:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $192.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 26, 09:37 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 09:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".