Grubby-Chandelier
0x2c3928af89565c352afe8e2a1b25deed77a056dc
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$62.7K
Total PnL
$18.3K
Realised
$23.4K
Win rate
86%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
30204 shares @ 95.3¢·now 95.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$28.8K
$15.55
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
10000 shares @ 91.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.9K
$-150.00
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
10000 shares @ 68.7¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.9K
$82.33
- NO
Anthropic CEO arrested?
5435 shares @ 95.6¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.4K
$182.11
- YES
Will Putin visit China by May 31?
4516 shares @ 95.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.5K
$176.84
- NO
Iran leadership change by May 31?
1747 shares @ 93.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.6K
$8.74
- YES
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
15000 shares @ 5.3¢·now 10.7¢·exp May 19, 2026$1.6K
$797.62
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
18605 shares @ 28.4¢·now 5.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.0K
$-4.3K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
12755 shares @ 19.2¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$956.61
$-1.5K
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
777 shares @ 3.1¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$720.66
$696.85
Recent activity
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)$0.00May 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)$100.00May 17, 02:58 UTC
- REWARD$8.20May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$9.5KMay 16, 18:03 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 15?$11.1KMay 16, 15:47 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?$0.00May 16, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$9.1KMay 16, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$17.18May 16, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$3.7KMay 16, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$4.8KMay 16, 05:27 UTC
- MERGEU.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?$127.67May 16, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?$96.57May 16, 03:42 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?$488.80May 16, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?$1.40May 16, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?$595.11May 16, 03:31 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$13.08May 16, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$31.64May 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$6.6KMay 15, 23:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$642.23May 15, 21:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$4.4KMay 15, 20:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $1.7K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 07:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".