Passionate-Evil
0x2c4c4ed0b98e6310b4afe39fd4043a668bc9d989
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$35.87
Total PnL
$-35.00
Realised
$0.12
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
24 shares @ 61.3¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$14.31
$-0.69
- YES
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
6 shares @ 82.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$4.79
$-0.21
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$1.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?
3 shares @ 58.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$1.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
3 shares @ 75.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$1.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.17
$0.17
- YES
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?
1 shares @ 88.5¢·now 95.7¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-19?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$1.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)$1.92May 18, 02:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?$1.33May 18, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$2.02May 16, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$5.04May 16, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?$1.01May 16, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lille OSC win on 2026-05-17?$1.01May 16, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-16?$3.57May 16, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)$1.01May 15, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYAl Nassr Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 3.5$1.01May 15, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYAl Hilal Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 3.5$1.01May 15, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$1.01May 15, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-16?$2.01May 15, 17:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?$13.73May 14, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$1.01May 14, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?$2.01May 14, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDP Junior FC win on 2026-05-20?$1.01May 14, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-20?$1.01May 14, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-19?$1.01May 14, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA Rosario Central win on 2026-05-19?$1.01May 14, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lille OSC win on 2026-05-17?$1.01May 14, 16:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 21:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 02:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".