Absolute-Reluctance
0x2c57b7f3e9339a6802c58b1f4d1d1a279631c2e0
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
72
Open notional
$2.3K
Total PnL
$-54.30
Realised
$-73.57
Win rate
52%
31 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 72- NO
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?
411 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$411.00
$69.87
- NO
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?
253 shares @ 98.9¢·now 97.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$247.31
$-2.81
- NO
CBB mindshare all time high by March 31?
154 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$154.00
$49.28
- YES
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?
109 shares @ 95.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$109.00
$5.23
- NO
Will Jafar Panahi be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
108 shares @ 28.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$108.00
$77.76
- NO
Rippling IPO in 2025?
107 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$107.00
$1.18
- NO
U.S. agrees to give Saudi Arabia security guarantee by November 30?
98 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$98.00
$1.18
- NO
Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2025?
95 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$95.00
$2.38
- NO
Will Jennifer Lawrence be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
89 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$89.00
$12.46
- NO
Will Put Your Soul on Your Hand and Walk be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?
85 shares @ 63.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$84.90
$31.06
Recent activity
- TRADESELLVentuals FDV above $300M one day after launch?$4.42Feb 8, 20:12 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken IPO closing market cap above $16B?$60.83Feb 8, 19:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?$68.66Feb 8, 19:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?$36.94Feb 8, 19:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?$34.88Feb 8, 19:02 UTC
- REDEEMFannie Mae IPO in 2025?$111.00Jan 12, 17:13 UTC
- REDEEMCDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?$112.00Jan 12, 17:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Steve Cohen and Seminole Hard Rock Entertainment receive a license for Metropolitan Park casino in Queens?$113.75Jan 12, 17:13 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Turkey military clash in 2025?$127.00Jan 12, 17:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mistral have a #1 AI model this year?$128.00Jan 12, 17:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Orwell: 2+2=5 be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?$212.00Jan 12, 17:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in November 2025?$223.00Jan 12, 17:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Sarah" or "Beckstrom" during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?$229.61Jan 12, 17:13 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. withdraws from Syria in 2025?$246.00Jan 12, 17:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump say "hell" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?$253.00Jan 12, 17:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?$6.72Jan 11, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?$341.13Jan 10, 08:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "His & Hers" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)$46.09Jan 10, 07:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "His & Hers" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)$27.83Jan 10, 07:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Train Dreams be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$7.31Jan 10, 04:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $84.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 3, 08:31 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 8, 20:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 31 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".