Rubbery-Policy
0x2cfe7302d69d3eaec0b39a0da170c20740b0e4de
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
91
Open notional
$8.3K
Total PnL
$-809.20
Realised
$52.33
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 91- NO
Will Jonathan Young win Survivor Season 50?
1094 shares @ 98.4¢·now 98.4¢·exp May 20, 2026$1.1K
$0.00
- NO
Will Alex Warren have a #1 hit in the US in May?
1000 shares @ 94.0¢·now 94.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$947.00
$7.33
- NO
Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
500 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$499.75
$7.63
- NO
Will Tony Thurmond advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
499 shares @ 95.2¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$495.04
$19.72
- NO
Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
499 shares @ 81.5¢·now 96.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$478.79
$72.10
- NO
Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
473 shares @ 96.8¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$468.03
$10.29
- NO
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?
500 shares @ 94.0¢·now 88.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$444.25
$-25.60
- YES
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
437 shares @ 73.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$347.42
$28.38
- NO
Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
379 shares @ 72.6¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$343.07
$67.96
- YES
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
1000 shares @ 15.7¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$235.00
$77.56
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?$250.00May 18, 04:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 PGA Championship?$350.00May 18, 00:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Italy win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$55.00May 17, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Austria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$130.00May 17, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$69.00May 17, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cyprus be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$250.00May 17, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$180.00May 17, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$9.00May 17, 02:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Italy be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$20.00May 17, 02:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$529.00May 17, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Tommy Gantt vs. Artur Minev (Lightweight, Prelims)$500.00May 17, 02:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$1.3KMay 17, 01:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill paiN Gaming win IEM Atlanta 2026?$145.00May 15, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jonathan Young win Survivor Season 50?$191.05May 15, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jonathan Young win Survivor Season 50?$221.58May 15, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jonathan Young win Survivor Season 50?$221.58May 15, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jonathan Young win Survivor Season 50?$221.58May 15, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jonathan Young win Survivor Season 50?$221.58May 15, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$52.70May 15, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Virgil" be said on ICEMAN?$5.54May 15, 03:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $64.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 22:41 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".