Piercing-Oregano
0x2d1b709a49bd907577f1319df1a79d6a0c9d5adb
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$12.6K
Total PnL
$166.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4127 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.1K
$8.12
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
1900 shares @ 69.3¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.6K
$250.50
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
1723 shares @ 69.8¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.5K
$330.83
- NO
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1530 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.5K
$3.33
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
1713 shares @ 71.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$-162.77
- YES
Will Manchester United finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
783 shares @ 9.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$782.50
$707.50
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
949 shares @ 44.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$650.37
$232.62
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
2000 shares @ 45.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$510.00
$-390.00
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
500 shares @ 80.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$427.50
$27.50
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
195 shares @ 65.4¢·now 72.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$140.82
$13.20
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.62May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.62May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.62May 16, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$99.05May 15, 18:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$99.06May 15, 18:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?$181.37May 15, 18:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?$313.63May 15, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?$425.00May 15, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$432.40May 15, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$392.75May 15, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$8.07May 15, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$30.13May 15, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$4.06May 15, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.98May 15, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.78May 15, 08:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.62May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.62May 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYArne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?$151.43May 13, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$427.12May 13, 10:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.62May 13, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $229.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 10:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".