Heavy-Topsail
0x2d27e4d20f3b8a2ee3bc861d9b83752f338676d8
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$1.0K
Realised
$708.33
Win rate
100%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$300.00
$100.00
- YES
Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
197216 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$295.82
$98.61
- YES
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
107620 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$161.43
$53.81
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
48783 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$73.17
$24.39
- YES
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
14785 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$66.53
$22.19
- YES
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
33333 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$50.00
$-16.67
- YES
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
12187 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$42.66
$18.28
- YES
Will the Progressive Party (PP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?
28074 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$42.11
$9.60
- YES
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
12222 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$30.55
$6.11
- YES
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
5171 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.85
$10.34
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Progressive Party (PP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?$0.00May 18, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.03May 18, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00May 18, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.04May 18, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.05May 18, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.01May 18, 06:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lee Kwang-jae win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?$0.00May 18, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00May 18, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.13May 18, 06:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lee Kwang-jae win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?$0.00May 18, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.15May 18, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.62May 18, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00May 18, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00May 18, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.04May 18, 05:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lee Kwang-jae win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?$0.00May 18, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.06May 18, 05:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$0.01May 18, 05:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$0.43May 18, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00May 18, 05:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 05:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".