Determined-Application-Halibut
0x2d7d29ba479b48b7466555a44e5133499327c2da
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$40.65
Total PnL
$-68.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?
9 shares @ 56.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$8.92
$3.92
- YES
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?
19 shares @ 53.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.38
$-4.62
- YES
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 6.4¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$5.34
$0.34
- YES
Will Fiona Ma advance from the California Lieutenant Governor Primary in 2026?
6 shares @ 85.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.82
$-0.18
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.41
$-1.59
- YES
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
6 shares @ 34.6¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$3.38
$1.38
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
161 shares @ 3.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.30
$-1.70
- YES
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?
24 shares @ 20.5¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.05
$-1.95
- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
6 shares @ 67.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$2.54
$-1.46
- YES
Will Janelle Kellman advance from the California Lieutenant Governor Primary in 2026?
4 shares @ 81.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.52
$-2.48
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$5.32May 16, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$5.31May 16, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$25.70May 16, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$25.74May 16, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$5.00May 15, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$5.24May 15, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?$5.09May 15, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Janelle Kellman advance from the California Lieutenant Governor Primary in 2026?$3.02May 15, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fiona Ma advance from the California Lieutenant Governor Primary in 2026?$5.03May 15, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$2.05May 15, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$4.05May 15, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$5.00May 15, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?$5.16May 15, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?$10.19May 15, 02:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $7.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 02:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 07:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".