Peaceful-Illusion
0x2e4d05beafd81a6e85bc0c6a94820d61ef34f703
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$240.0K
Total PnL
$-22.4K
Realised
$-4.5K
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
446495 shares @ 24.4¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$83.3K
$-25.7K
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
32000 shares @ 74.8¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$28.0K
$4.1K
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
33562 shares @ 26.7¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$17.6K
$8.7K
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
16000 shares @ 86.7¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.8K
$938.09
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
15000 shares @ 81.7¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.1K
$865.02
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
18200 shares @ 76.4¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$12.8K
$-1.1K
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
12000 shares @ 86.2¢·now 95.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$11.4K
$1.1K
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
11000 shares @ 77.7¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$8.5K
$-24.95
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
7623 shares @ 72.2¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$7.1K
$1.5K
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
9547 shares @ 78.7¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$7.0K
$-499.52
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.00May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$10.75May 18, 00:13 UTC
- REWARD$3.65May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLOKX IPO in 2026?$25.20May 17, 20:53 UTC
- TRADESELLOKX IPO in 2026?$1.00May 17, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$4.76May 17, 03:26 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$1.00May 17, 03:25 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$1.50May 17, 03:22 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$1.00May 17, 03:22 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$2.00May 17, 03:18 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$50.00May 17, 02:49 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$1.30May 17, 02:09 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$2.00May 17, 02:07 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$1.00May 17, 01:47 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$9.47May 17, 01:14 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.98May 17, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$39.97May 17, 00:29 UTC
- YIELD$10.75May 17, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$1.05May 17, 00:09 UTC
- REWARD$2.90May 17, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $125.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 14:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".