Substantial-Graph
0x2e87ce8a92707ecd55832568891f457884243534
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$2.0K
Total PnL
$77.78
Realised
$31.09
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
480 shares @ 93.7¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$448.60
$-0.82
- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
592 shares @ 78.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$411.22
$-50.17
- NO
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
423 shares @ 71.9¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$378.74
$74.57
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
381 shares @ 77.2¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$348.33
$54.34
- YES
Will USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by May 31?
531 shares @ 27.1¢·now 20.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$108.96
$-34.94
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
105 shares @ 81.8¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$93.97
$8.10
- NO
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
51 shares @ 86.3¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$44.59
$0.87
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
68 shares @ 34.5¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.32
$-0.03
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
38 shares @ 33.5¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$15.77
$3.05
- YES
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?
61 shares @ 36.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$13.51
$-8.59
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by December 31?$3.40May 17, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$1.00May 17, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by May 31?$3.20May 16, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$8.80May 16, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by May 31?$4.39May 16, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 15?$0.00May 16, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$0.50May 16, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by May 31?$6.00May 15, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?$44.37May 15, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?$11.70May 14, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$84.60May 13, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$26.88May 13, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$69.60May 13, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?$129.00May 13, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$319.60May 13, 17:23 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 8?$0.00May 12, 17:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$0.00May 12, 17:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on April 30?$0.00May 12, 17:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.00May 12, 17:58 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.27May 12, 17:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $79.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 22:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 09:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".