0x2eba0bd81e35707040c4dc84071b3bb90d32ffa3
0x2eba0bd81e35707040c4dc84071b3bb90d32ffa3
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
40
Open notional
$4.1K
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$29.62
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
2800 shares @ 37.7¢·now 24.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$686.00
$-370.00
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
900 shares @ 8.3¢·now 70.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$631.35
$556.75
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
400 shares @ 87.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$376.20
$28.20
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
400 shares @ 71.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$370.00
$86.00
- NO
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
400 shares @ 52.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$314.00
$106.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
3100 shares @ 27.2¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$232.50
$-611.49
- NO
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?
200 shares @ 65.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$197.88
$67.89
- NO
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?
230 shares @ 67.6¢·now 80.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$184.06
$28.61
- NO
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?
400 shares @ 23.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$142.00
$50.00
- NO
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
200 shares @ 57.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$137.98
$23.98
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Waymo operate in 7 cities on June 30 2026?$0.59May 15, 11:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$340.00May 13, 13:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$298.00May 11, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$2.00May 11, 19:01 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$112.00May 11, 10:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Waymo operate in 7 cities on June 30 2026?$0.84May 9, 07:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 9, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$2.35May 9, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?$13.50May 8, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?$1.50May 8, 12:05 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$297.52May 8, 11:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $158.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 12:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".