Interesting-Aspic
0x2f5242b73c0f0222b44f5b35351ebf9c0d339fba
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
82
Open notional
$447.89
Total PnL
$-74.13
Realised
$13.76
Win rate
52%
64 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 82- NO
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?
50 shares @ 55.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.25
$0.75
- NO
Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
52 shares @ 52.1¢·now 52.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$27.07
$-0.06
- NO
Will Luke Bronin be the Democratic nominee for CT-01?
50 shares @ 50.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$24.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Richard Tabor be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?
50 shares @ 50.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$24.10
$-0.98
- YES
Will Alex Zdan be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?
50 shares @ 49.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$23.25
$-1.25
- NO
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
40 shares @ 56.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$22.60
$0.20
- NO
Discord IPO before 2027?
50 shares @ 47.0¢·now 45.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.57
$-0.92
- NO
Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026?
50 shares @ 41.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$18.75
$-1.75
- NO
Will T1 qualify to MSI 2026?
50 shares @ 47.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$18.50
$-5.00
- NO
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
33 shares @ 58.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$16.01
$-3.14
Recent activity
- MERGEWill Aristotle self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?$10.19May 18, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aristotle self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?$4.89May 18, 07:51 UTC
- MERGEWill Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?$50.00May 18, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?$39.00May 18, 05:22 UTC
- MERGEWill Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?$10.00May 18, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?$4.30May 18, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?$28.00May 18, 02:12 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.35May 18, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$16.06May 18, 00:00 UTC
- MERGEWill any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?$6.78May 17, 22:46 UTC
- MERGEWill the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?$41.21May 17, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?$5.00May 17, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?$5.00May 17, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?$3.12May 17, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?$25.14May 17, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?$6.27May 17, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Zdan be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?$15.19May 17, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Zdan be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?$9.31May 17, 15:58 UTC
- MERGEWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?$50.00May 17, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?$25.10May 17, 15:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $16.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 21:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 64 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".