Colossal-Fat
0x2f684bb74337ed8abbd3e48df79aabd2b69a21ec
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
81
Open notional
$3.4K
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$142.23
Win rate
65%
26 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 81- NO
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?
1085 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.1K
$1.08
- YES
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?
1849 shares @ 44.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$1.0K
$221.88
- EC JUVENTUDE
Spread: Ceará SC (-2.5)
1595 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$797.50
$0.00
- TARLETON STATE TEXANS
Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. Tarleton State Texans
248 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$248.00
$29.76
- NO
CBB mindshare all time high by March 31?
85 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$85.00
$27.20
- NO
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?
27 shares @ 93.0¢·now 95.4¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$25.76
$0.65
- YES
Will Daniel Baluta finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?
25 shares @ 17.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$25.09
$20.82
- NO
Will turnout in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election be between 42% and 44%?
24 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$24.00
$4.56
- NO
Vanta IPO in 2025?
19 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$19.00
$0.44
- NO
Will Adam Sandler be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
18 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$18.00
$5.58
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?$63.96Apr 23, 08:38 UTC
- REDEEMSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins$360.00Apr 23, 08:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?$15.00Apr 21, 10:26 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?$53.25Apr 13, 16:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the total number of TSA passengers for April 6 - April 12 be between 17,000,000 and 17,500,000?$52.58Apr 12, 22:14 UTC
- TRADESELLAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?$49.68Apr 12, 15:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Habshan Field or any Processing Plants of the Habshan Complex by April 30?$80.50Apr 12, 15:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Habshan Field or any Processing Plants of the Habshan Complex by April 30?$136.85Apr 12, 15:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?$17.94Apr 12, 15:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?$207.48Apr 12, 15:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Habshan Field or any Processing Plants of the Habshan Complex by April 30?$2.20Apr 12, 15:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Habshan Field or any Processing Plants of the Habshan Complex by April 30?$2.20Apr 12, 14:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Habshan Field or any Processing Plants of the Habshan Complex by April 30?$2.20Apr 12, 14:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?$550.29Apr 12, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?$200.64Apr 12, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?$311.08Apr 12, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?$315.04Apr 12, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?$80.92Apr 12, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?$49.68Apr 12, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Habshan Field or any Processing Plants of the Habshan Complex by April 30?$214.50Apr 12, 03:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $203.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 09:47 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 08:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 26 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".