Mixed-Journal
0x2fe727db6aaa00b13cbb6741f07044317b8142c1
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$29.3K
Realised
$29.4K
Win rate
73%
162 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
233 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$233.47
$3.04
- NO
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
90 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$89.33
$-0.13
- NO
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
75 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$74.51
$-0.04
- NO
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
66 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$65.50
$-0.03
- NO
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
51 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$50.57
$0.13
- YES
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
47 shares @ 88.1¢·now 74.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$34.78
$-6.63
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
30 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$30.00
$0.48
- NO
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
28 shares @ 98.8¢·now 98.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$27.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
19 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$19.14
$0.06
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
18 shares @ 91.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$17.64
$1.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$1.66May 18, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$0.94May 18, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$2.70May 18, 18:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$0.00May 18, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$10.00May 18, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$0.20May 18, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$0.06May 18, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$1.04May 18, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$2.40May 18, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$3.60May 18, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$1.90May 18, 18:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$0.00May 18, 18:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$30.00May 18, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$2.49May 18, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$3.80May 18, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$3.20May 18, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$1.60May 18, 17:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$0.00May 18, 17:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$0.00May 18, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$9.40May 18, 17:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $3.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 16:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 18:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 162 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".