Grown-Transaction-Significance
0x302ed771d73b7509a84ca5223dfbb42b149f88cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$361.01
Total PnL
$-174.08
Realised
$13.13
Win rate
55%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
290 shares @ 25.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$181.25
$108.75
- YES
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
191 shares @ 38.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$56.34
$-16.23
- YES
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?
239 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.32
$-1.19
- YES
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?
114 shares @ 32.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$19.95
$-16.53
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
167 shares @ 23.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.49
$-25.81
- NO
Will Željka Cvijanović be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?
46 shares @ 32.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$11.27
$-3.45
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
191 shares @ 9.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.50
$-6.68
- NO
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title?
29 shares @ 37.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$10.29
$-0.43
- YES
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
34 shares @ 39.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.69
$-3.57
- YES
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?
26 shares @ 34.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.93
$-0.91
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEbola case in the US by June 30?$13.26May 18, 05:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$13.50May 18, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$10.80May 18, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?$3.22May 18, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLEbola case in the US by June 30?$10.24May 18, 03:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$4.20May 18, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$5.60May 18, 00:40 UTC
- REWARD$5.69May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?$6.27May 17, 23:19 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$0.59May 17, 22:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?$4.94May 17, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola case in the US by June 30?$12.16May 17, 12:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$6.60May 17, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$36.48May 17, 03:09 UTC
- TRADESELLEbola case in the US by June 30?$34.76May 17, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola case in the US by June 30?$38.72May 17, 01:27 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$15.24May 17, 01:02 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.20May 17, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$5.00May 17, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$18.86May 17, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $16.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 13:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".