Runny-Discount
0x304600d26904c43e551fc5ec8a2d699a56cdb871
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$4.48
Total PnL
$-73.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Hyperbeat FDV above $400M one day after launch?
527 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.48
$0.47
- YES
Fogo FDV above $3B one day after launch?
5931 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will XRP reach $3.20 before 2026?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Fogo FDV above $2B one day after launch?
1667 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?
588 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Opinion FDV above $5B one day after launch?
400 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Nansen launch a token by March 31, 2026?
108 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-9.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYHyperbeat FDV above $400M one day after launch?$0.04Mar 11, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperbeat FDV above $400M one day after launch?$0.79Mar 9, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperbeat FDV above $400M one day after launch?$1.21Mar 1, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperbeat FDV above $400M one day after launch?$0.81Feb 10, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperbeat FDV above $400M one day after launch?$0.01Jan 28, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBased FDV above $1B one day after launch?$10.00Jan 20, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYFogo FDV above $2B one day after launch?$10.00Jan 12, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYFogo FDV above $3B one day after launch?$20.00Jan 12, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperbeat FDV above $400M one day after launch?$0.15Jan 10, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $5B one day after launch?$20.00Jan 6, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperbeat FDV above $400M one day after launch?$1.00Jan 6, 21:04 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$10.00Jan 6, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$10.00Jan 6, 19:52 UTC
- REDEEMRainbow FDV above $200M one day after launch?$0.00Jan 1, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYRainbow FDV above $200M one day after launch?$10.00Dec 31, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $3.20 before 2026?$5.00Dec 31, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nansen launch a token by March 31, 2026?$9.00Dec 31, 15:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $6.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 31, 15:23 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 11, 11:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".