Untried-Decision
0x304743d482137e38f6b3bb69c657eef08f6cd38a
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$20.40
Total PnL
$-15.73
Realised
$0.95
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027
30 shares @ 13.3¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.56
$1.56
- NO
Will Trump's approval rating hit 48% in 2026?
4 shares @ 84.0¢·now 94.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.39
$0.39
- NO
Will Trump's approval rating hit 44% in 2026?
3 shares @ 66.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.74
$0.74
- NO
Will Germany GDP growth in Q4 2025 be exactly 0.0%?
2 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.32
$0.21
- YES
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
34 shares @ 2.9¢·now 6.6¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$2.26
$1.26
- NO
Will Germany GDP growth in Q4 2025 be below 0.0%?
2 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.20
$0.20
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
15 shares @ 10.0¢·now 5.4¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.83
$-0.71
- YES
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.01
$-0.99
- YES
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
48 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.27
Recent activity
- TRADESELLAnother Elon baby by June 30?$5.53Jan 11, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Bitcoin" in January?$2.00Jan 2, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. strike on Nigeria by December 31, 2025?$1.33Dec 28, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Nigeria by December 31, 2025?$1.00Dec 27, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027$3.00Dec 26, 11:58 UTC
- TRADESELLNorth Korea missile launch by January 31?$9.72Dec 23, 13:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$2.40Dec 22, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$1.16Dec 19, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWeed rescheduled by March 31?$1.00Dec 18, 22:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWeed rescheduled by March 31?$2.15Dec 18, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.27Dec 18, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.00Dec 18, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hollow Knight: Silksong win Best Game on Steam Deck at the 2025 Steam Awards?$2.27Dec 18, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.54Dec 18, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.00Dec 18, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWeed rescheduled by March 31?$2.00Dec 18, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Dec 18, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Dec 18, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Dec 18, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027$1.00Dec 18, 11:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $2.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 12, 11:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 11, 02:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".