Vacant-Challenge
0x3078db4a9737866b4d6529f655025b3a20f80389
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$841.38
Total PnL
$-75.97
Realised
$1.2K
Win rate
54%
139 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
96 shares @ 33.2¢·now 70.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$67.08
$35.27
- NO
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?
81 shares @ 23.6¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$56.23
$37.13
- YES
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
298 shares @ 10.3¢·now 17.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$52.11
$21.48
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
604 shares @ 10.6¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$45.03
$-18.83
- YES
Will Diego Lopes become UFC champion in 2026?
119 shares @ 12.0¢·now 34.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$41.40
$27.08
- YES
Fed rate hike in 2026?
125 shares @ 20.5¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$39.39
$13.68
- YES
Relay FDV above $500M one day after launch?
128 shares @ 10.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$35.32
$22.47
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
181 shares @ 12.7¢·now 18.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$32.87
$9.94
- YES
Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026?
152 shares @ 33.5¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$31.84
$-18.98
- NO
Will Zendaya and Tom Holland get married by December 31?
145 shares @ 10.0¢·now 21.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.65
$16.19
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran successfully target shipping on March 19, 2026?$0.10May 17, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMMiami Open, Qualification: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Dalibor Svrcina$0.12May 17, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?$0.12May 17, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?$0.17May 17, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMValorant: FUSION X vs Legiowon (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Latin America North Group Stage$0.17May 17, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?$0.20May 17, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMJazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5$0.23May 17, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast say "Subscribe" during his next video?$0.30May 17, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMBaltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers$0.32May 17, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?$0.34May 17, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals$0.36May 17, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMUS Avellino 1912 vs. FC Südtirol: Both Teams to Score$0.37May 17, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMBucks vs. Jazz$0.38May 17, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs AIRLYA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs$0.39May 17, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$0.39May 17, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMVenezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026?$0.42May 17, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Knicks (-13.5)$0.45May 17, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$0.46May 17, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMMiami Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Jasmine Paolini$0.46May 17, 18:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 18:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 139 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".