Threadbare-Lunchroom
0x30de156a425f2775918851ef0b0b8f8a2e631f9d
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$48.42
Realised
$2.54
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
1342 shares @ 57.7¢·now 57.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$771.88
$-2.69
- NO
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
260 shares @ 61.2¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$230.39
$71.15
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
303 shares @ 44.0¢·now 70.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$213.96
$80.80
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
243 shares @ 60.1¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$141.89
$-3.79
- THUNDER
Spurs vs. Thunder
103 shares @ 69.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$69.41
$-1.54
- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
102 shares @ 58.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$59.51
$0.51
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
103 shares @ 38.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$34.38
$-4.62
- NO
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
42 shares @ 71.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$27.04
$-2.96
- NO
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
50 shares @ 23.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.01
$13.62
- YES
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in May?
101 shares @ 4.3¢·now 6.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.28
$1.98
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$71.61May 17, 04:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill CD Universidad de Concepción win on 2026-05-16?$71.66May 17, 04:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CD Universidad de Concepción win on 2026-05-16?$20.87May 16, 22:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$20.83May 16, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$17.04May 16, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CD Universidad de Concepción win on 2026-05-16?$11.18May 16, 22:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$28.30May 16, 22:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Cavaliers$14.72May 15, 22:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$14.55May 15, 22:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$31.60May 14, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Pistons$11.43May 14, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$4.08May 14, 01:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$24.26May 14, 01:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$89.66May 12, 05:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $55.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 18:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".