Youthful-Facsimile
0x31122ac82dbc392a53c9d0a8b8f15322f0c509a8
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$18.8K
Total PnL
$-48.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
4946 shares @ 63.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.7K
$1.6K
- NO
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?
2789 shares @ 79.5¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$2.4K
$221.45
- NO
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
3455 shares @ 63.3¢·now 58.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.0K
$-183.73
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
8938 shares @ 67.3¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.8K
$-4.2K
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
2000 shares @ 84.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.8K
$70.00
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
3489 shares @ 44.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.6K
$17.44
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
2600 shares @ 63.8¢·now 50.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.3K
$-345.00
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?
1186 shares @ 74.2¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$906.91
$26.88
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
4012 shares @ 28.5¢·now 15.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$621.88
$-521.51
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?
1338 shares @ 36.8¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$461.49
$-30.67
Recent activity
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$10.0KMay 15, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$580.00May 4, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$563.40May 4, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$2.45May 4, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$11.69May 4, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$7.80May 4, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$141.23May 4, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$1.3KMay 4, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$320.00May 4, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$104.78May 4, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$378.00May 4, 17:41 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$892.38May 4, 17:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?$5.0KMay 4, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$1.1KApr 8, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$568.00Apr 8, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$2.4KApr 8, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$4.4KApr 8, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$4.3KApr 7, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$3.6KApr 7, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$4.3KApr 7, 00:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $559.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 00:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 14:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".