Insignificant-Cactus
0x3140ee1406dbbfa33f372cc9a8d70dd10c3876d9
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$3.3K
Total PnL
$-170.19
Realised
$108.10
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
3700 shares @ 45.5¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.6K
$-38.63
- NO
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
350 shares @ 80.7¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$330.89
$48.37
- NO
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?
363 shares @ 86.4¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$328.25
$14.96
- NO
Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
333 shares @ 77.5¢·now 92.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$306.90
$48.56
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
200 shares @ 80.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$181.00
$21.00
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
556 shares @ 2.3¢·now 31.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$175.56
$162.60
- NO
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
185 shares @ 90.9¢·now 90.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$167.24
$-0.83
- YES
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
560 shares @ 11.5¢·now 14.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$78.44
$14.21
- NO
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
223 shares @ 23.4¢·now 28.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$63.62
$11.33
- YES
Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
870 shares @ 14.7¢·now 2.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$23.91
$-103.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$440.16Mar 30, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$2.75Feb 26, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$1.36Feb 26, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$172.46Feb 26, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$1.78Feb 25, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$4.47Feb 25, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYAny Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?$11.51Feb 23, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$110.16Feb 18, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?$4.25Feb 16, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$2.42Feb 14, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$12.75Feb 14, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$10.33Feb 14, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$1.61Feb 9, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$1.61Feb 9, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$0.68Feb 9, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$14.57Feb 6, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$15.73Feb 5, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMBrazil unemployment below 6.3% for Q4 2025?$5.77Feb 1, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYAny Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?$40.00Jan 26, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYAny Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?$40.00Jan 26, 02:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $52.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 16, 17:03 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 30, 01:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".