Discrete-Dispute
0x31436bde35c25c3714e0c3e7fbd14a22107581b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
63
Open notional
$18.9K
Total PnL
$-68.6K
Realised
$-2.4K
Win rate
74%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
16442 shares @ 56.8¢·now 35.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.8K
$-3.6K
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
3800 shares @ 84.4¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.3K
$119.00
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
7681 shares @ 32.9¢·now 21.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.6K
$-910.65
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
13241 shares @ 36.6¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.5K
$-3.3K
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
12871 shares @ 22.0¢·now 9.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.2K
$-1.6K
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
8981 shares @ 15.1¢·now 7.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$682.58
$-671.18
- NO
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?
2043 shares @ 76.1¢·now 31.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$642.43
$-912.90
- NO
Rippling IPO before 2027?
620 shares @ 83.9¢·now 88.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$545.60
$25.53
- NO
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
913 shares @ 80.3¢·now 52.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$474.58
$-258.67
- NO
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?
465 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$465.00
$16.21
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the US federal government take a stake in NVIDIA Corporation?$6.92May 17, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Transgender" during events with Xi Jinping?$135.88May 14, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Autopen" or "Auto Pen" during events with Xi Jinping?$198.33May 14, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?$241.00May 13, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?$60.11May 13, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?$36.48May 13, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?$111.20May 13, 08:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWaymo IPO before 2027?$106.16May 13, 08:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US federal government take a stake in D-Wave Quantum Inc.?$7.70May 9, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$410.00May 6, 03:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$0.97May 5, 14:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$104.38May 5, 14:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US federal government take a stake in D-Wave Quantum Inc.?$98.83May 5, 13:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US federal government take a stake in Micron Technology, Inc.?$128.06May 5, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. Ambassador to Poland out by March 31?$101.40May 5, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$201.81May 5, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$255.00May 5, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMKash Patel out by March 31?$335.43May 5, 13:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.?$26.71Apr 13, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$3.88Mar 26, 18:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $38.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 04:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 20:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".