0x31588e10003cc566f4cf025e267fa66dfeb99df1
0x31588e10003cc566f4cf025e267fa66dfeb99df1
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
45
Open notional
$211.53
Total PnL
$-9.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- NO
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
36 shares @ 79.9¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$31.76
$3.08
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
12 shares @ 67.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.00
$1.01
- YES
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?
13 shares @ 40.0¢·now 66.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$8.65
$3.41
- NO
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
10 shares @ 79.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$8.44
$0.45
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
13 shares @ 62.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$8.12
$-0.07
- NO
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
12 shares @ 41.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$7.64
$2.86
- NO
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
14 shares @ 51.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$7.61
$0.62
- YES
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?
11 shares @ 68.1¢·now 65.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$7.30
$-0.29
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
15 shares @ 50.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$7.11
$-0.54
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
15 shares @ 53.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$7.02
$-0.81
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 15%+?$1.36May 18, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA Q1 adjusted gross margin be between 75% and 76%?$2.71May 18, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$7.65May 17, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?$8.31May 17, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by May 31?$2.17May 17, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$4.20May 16, 19:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$12.59May 16, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in May?$2.37May 16, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Carlos Álvarez finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$7.59May 16, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?$7.98May 16, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?$7.69May 15, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$7.99May 15, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?$1.37May 15, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill EagleRock's market cap be between $2.5B and $3.0B at market close on IPO day?$15.28May 14, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.67May 14, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?$1.74May 14, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill EagleRock's market cap be between $2.5B and $3.0B at market close on IPO day?$8.25May 14, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMMicrosoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 13?$10.44May 13, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$1.26May 13, 18:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by June 30?$7.59May 13, 16:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $4.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 19:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 11:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".