Popular-Middleman
0x31c4578b25af36f34c8aa4cc85f0794bfbea622f
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
57
Open notional
$449.38
Total PnL
$-11.77
Realised
$29.95
Win rate
63%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
215 shares @ 51.1¢·now 56.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$120.50
$10.62
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
50 shares @ 50.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$37.52
$12.52
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
40 shares @ 70.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$29.88
$2.18
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
33 shares @ 85.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.01
$0.16
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
33 shares @ 84.4¢·now 79.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$25.86
$-1.59
- NO
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
26 shares @ 89.4¢·now 97.8¢·exp May 19, 2026$25.28
$2.16
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
50 shares @ 72.3¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$22.12
$-13.81
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
64 shares @ 68.7¢·now 32.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$20.50
$-23.50
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
51 shares @ 35.9¢·now 32.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$16.48
$-1.71
- YES
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
37 shares @ 39.7¢·now 36.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$13.54
$-1.18
Recent activity
- TRADESELLGeneva Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Casper Ruud$3.32May 18, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$50.09May 18, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$11.42May 18, 13:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$2.51May 18, 13:24 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$2.04May 18, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$2.17May 18, 12:42 UTC
- REDEEMInternationaux de Strasbourg: Madison Keys vs Cristina Bucsa$2.16May 18, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYMonteiro vs. Montes: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5$1.10May 18, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternationaux de Strasbourg: Madison Keys vs Cristina Bucsa$1.10May 18, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?$1.30May 18, 12:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$6.65May 18, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYGeneva Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Casper Ruud$1.10May 18, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIstanbul: Thiago Monteiro vs Inaki Montes$1.10May 18, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSet 1 Winner: Monteiro vs Montes$1.10May 18, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYThiago Monteiro vs. Inaki Montes: Total Sets O/U 2.5$1.10May 18, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternationaux de Strasbourg: Madison Keys vs Cristina Bucsa$1.10May 18, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$25.03May 18, 10:36 UTC
- TRADESELLInternationaux de Strasbourg: Madison Keys vs Cristina Bucsa$1.04May 18, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternationaux de Strasbourg: Madison Keys vs Cristina Bucsa$1.10May 18, 09:59 UTC
- TRADESELLInternationaux de Strasbourg: Madison Keys vs Cristina Bucsa$1.04May 18, 09:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $4.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 07:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 13:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".