Harmless-Ray
0x32a3c0422db0fbcb6fa8405aa5647e561fb7a818
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
155
Open notional
$2.5K
Total PnL
$-4.9K
Realised
$10.2K
Win rate
89%
46 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 155- NO
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
888 shares @ 51.7¢·now 71.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$630.44
$171.18
- NO
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
425 shares @ 68.9¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$403.38
$110.94
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
450 shares @ 63.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$276.75
$-6.75
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
418 shares @ 29.6¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$265.48
$141.58
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
200 shares @ 89.3¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$185.10
$6.50
- NO
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
184 shares @ 71.3¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$163.48
$32.53
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
530 shares @ 48.4¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$108.65
$-148.15
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 84.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$89.50
$5.50
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
100 shares @ 83.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$87.50
$4.50
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 57.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$76.50
$19.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 8, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 6, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$5.00May 5, 15:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$5.00May 5, 15:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$5.00May 5, 15:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$10.75May 5, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$7.37May 5, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$1.88May 5, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$4.81May 5, 14:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $3.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 08:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 46 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".