Dear-Hypothesis
0x32d1623dddbd4841a98da71e47f0436d2ef2b949
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$3.3K
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$-223.78
Win rate
50%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
1010 shares @ 47.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$525.31
$50.31
- YES
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
23648 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$413.85
$-7.35
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
2054 shares @ 30.8¢·now 19.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$390.30
$-242.93
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
662 shares @ 60.3¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$374.05
$-25.08
- YES
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
7470 shares @ 20.6¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$336.15
$-1.2K
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
2012 shares @ 22.6¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$291.74
$-162.82
- YES
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
32163 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$273.39
$-63.20
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
408 shares @ 23.1¢·now 27.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$112.20
$18.12
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
4533 shares @ 1.2¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$92.92
$37.74
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
400 shares @ 15.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$86.00
$26.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?$12.81May 18, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?$4.60May 18, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$10.31May 18, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$34.31May 18, 06:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$20.00May 16, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$40.00May 16, 20:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 16, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$54.08May 15, 03:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$12.00May 13, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$85.00May 13, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$29.30May 13, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.48May 13, 05:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$5.82May 12, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$2.93May 12, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$1.39May 12, 06:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $27.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 05:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".