Pesky-Thunderhead
0x330a9e1f4d05bc3ce3df4330b8576153c52d8b66
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$43.03
Total PnL
$-0.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
EU debt downgrade before 2027?
10 shares @ 77.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.70
$1.00
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
9 shares @ 84.7¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.17
$0.17
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$5.20
$0.20
- YES
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
36 shares @ 11.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.82
$-0.18
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
25 shares @ 7.9¢·now 14.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.56
$1.56
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
3 shares @ 90.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.12
$0.12
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
2 shares @ 85.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.20
$0.20
- YES
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$2.13
$0.13
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
7 shares @ 13.4¢·now 24.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.83
$0.83
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
4 shares @ 53.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.68
$-0.32
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$3.51Apr 6, 18:28 UTC
- REDEEMNuclear weapon detonation by June 30?$4.21Mar 22, 20:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?$0.00Feb 28, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Einer Hedegart (NOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: XC - Men's 10km Interval Start Free at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?$0.00Feb 28, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?$0.00Feb 28, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$0.00Feb 28, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$0.00Feb 28, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?$0.00Feb 28, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$0.00Feb 28, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 8, 2026?$0.00Feb 28, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 20 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?$0.00Feb 28, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?$0.00Feb 28, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?$0.00Feb 28, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?$0.00Feb 28, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?$8.82Feb 28, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hugo Lapalus (FRA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: XC - Men's 10km Interval Start Free at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 20, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Florian Notz (GER) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: XC - Men's 10km Interval Start Free at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 20, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?$3.00Feb 20, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Florian Notz (GER) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: XC - Men's 10km Interval Start Free at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 13, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hugo Lapalus (FRA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: XC - Men's 10km Interval Start Free at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 13, 11:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $1.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 7, 17:23 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 6, 18:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".