Muffled-Pelican
0x33bcb6e9bd44be709122b2940c55e34f1a7e37dc
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$19.7K
Total PnL
$-22.9K
Realised
$955.02
Win rate
83%
36 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
20914 shares @ 41.1¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.7K
$86.14
- NO
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4000 shares @ 82.3¢·now 81.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.3K
$-21.00
- NO
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 97.9¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$979.50
$0.50
- NO
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
1497 shares @ 40.9¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$815.74
$202.90
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
1617 shares @ 27.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$671.25
$234.53
- NO
Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?
674 shares @ 93.4¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$643.95
$14.00
- NO
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
500 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$491.25
$1.25
- UNDER
Games Total: O/U 2.5
445 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$445.19
$218.03
- NO
Will Roger Federer play at Wimbledon?
450 shares @ 97.0¢·now 97.6¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$438.94
$2.70
- OVER
Games Total: O/U 2.5
1000 shares @ 44.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$435.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Sharks win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$0.02May 18, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SINNERS win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$0.02May 18, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Detroit Pistons advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?$5.00May 18, 05:54 UTC
- REDEEMGames Total: O/U 2.5$999.99May 18, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 2.5$8.03May 18, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 2.5$1.14May 18, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 2.5$5.20May 18, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 2.5$1.04May 18, 04:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship?$1.3KMay 18, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sharks win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$0.01May 18, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SINNERS win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$0.01May 18, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SINNERS win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$0.02May 18, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sharks win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$0.02May 18, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sharks win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$0.06May 18, 03:58 UTC
- REDEEMGames Total: O/U 2.5$420.58May 18, 03:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?$0.18May 18, 03:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?$0.05May 18, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 2.5$12.75May 18, 03:16 UTC
- REDEEMGames Total: O/U 4.5$33.47May 18, 03:16 UTC
- REDEEMGames Total: O/U 3.5$729.78May 18, 03:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $15.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 01:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 36 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".