Detailed-Leather
0x33e64dc492ed5e5f74f283a2d52703426082ba11
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$10.08
Total PnL
$-82.66
Realised
$1.23
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?
16 shares @ 0.1¢·now 12.2¢·exp Nov 1, 2026$1.91
$1.88
- YES
Will Thomas Welby win the 2026 Galway West by-election?
377 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$0.94
$-0.81
- YES
Will Eduardo Leite finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
523 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.78
$0.26
- YES
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.75
$-0.75
- YES
Will Benjamin Sesko be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Antoine Semenyo be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Savannah Louie win Survivor Season 50?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Mohammed Kudus be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 19?$0.03May 17, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 19?$0.01May 17, 20:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?$0.32May 17, 10:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?$0.20May 17, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Welby win the 2026 Galway West by-election?$0.02May 15, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Welby win the 2026 Galway West by-election?$0.03May 14, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Welby win the 2026 Galway West by-election?$0.02May 14, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Welby win the 2026 Galway West by-election?$0.08May 14, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Welby win the 2026 Galway West by-election?$0.03May 14, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Welby win the 2026 Galway West by-election?$0.01May 11, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Welby win the 2026 Galway West by-election?$0.14May 11, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Welby win the 2026 Galway West by-election?$0.01May 7, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?$0.16May 4, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Welby win the 2026 Galway West by-election?$0.01Apr 30, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Welby win the 2026 Galway West by-election?$0.03Apr 30, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Welby win the 2026 Galway West by-election?$0.00Apr 30, 03:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eduardo Leite finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.03Apr 29, 21:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eduardo Leite finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.01Apr 28, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Welsh Conservatives win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?$0.83Apr 28, 17:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?$0.05Apr 28, 17:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 18:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 23:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".