Creative-Subsidence
0x340b8d8eaf03c0b7aa477ab68e27fd3a2a1af8dc
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$346.15
Total PnL
$-30.80
Realised
$3.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
150 shares @ 50.0¢·now 81.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$122.03
$47.02
- NO
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
40 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$39.80
$-0.02
- NO
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
30 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$29.80
$-0.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$29.75
$0.23
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
30 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.43
$0.57
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$29.39
$-0.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 98.4¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$29.20
$-0.32
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
150 shares @ 50.0¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$27.98
$-47.02
- NO
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?
50 shares @ 19.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$3.25
$-6.25
- YES
Will Casey Armitage be the Republican Nominee for MI-10?
50 shares @ 11.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$3.25
$-2.25
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$10.00May 14, 12:08 UTC
- SPLITWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$150.00May 14, 12:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 1, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $52.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 05:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".