Frigid-Moose
0x3432db50f90f189ceec778b1b301920a2677501e
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-109.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?
602 shares @ 74.2¢·now 90.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$541.50
$95.12
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
539 shares @ 48.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$444.56
$185.91
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
754 shares @ 58.3¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$297.76
$-141.58
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
215 shares @ 37.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$147.48
$67.82
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
602 shares @ 27.6¢·now 13.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$81.23
$-84.95
- YES
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?
31 shares @ 81.0¢·now 77.6¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$23.85
$-1.03
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
31 shares @ 15.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$6.60
$2.00
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates
888 shares @ 22.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-203.21
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
677 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.38
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
677 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-6.77
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$29.82May 12, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?$86.02May 12, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$136.36May 12, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?$360.37May 12, 03:56 UTC
- REDEEMFed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?$677.00May 12, 03:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 12, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$6.77Apr 11, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$3.38Apr 11, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?$664.17Apr 11, 02:40 UTC
- MERGEWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$674.90Apr 11, 02:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Apr 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Apr 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Apr 9, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Apr 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Apr 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Apr 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Apr 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Apr 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Apr 3, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Apr 2, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $122.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 12, 02:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 16:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".