Absolute-Politics
0x3446f8ccba7bd462fc9b4bb45e508345fd747e00
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
178
Open notional
$1.86
Total PnL
$-211.04
Realised
$3.62
Win rate
52%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 178- YES
Will Vaibhav Sooryavanshi win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.29
$0.29
- YES
Will Sanju Samson win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.57
$-0.42
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 20?
124 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5AM ET
101 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12AM ET
47 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.80
- CANADA
T20 World Cup: Canada vs South Africa (Game 1)
35 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.23
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
28 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- ANTOINE GHIBAUDO
Shymkent: Timofey Skatov vs Antoine Ghibaudo
26 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.94
- ZIMBABWE
T20 Series New Zealand vs Zimbabwe, Women: New Zealand vs Zimbabwe
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
15 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.72
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Vaibhav Sooryavanshi win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap?$1.03May 17, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanju Samson win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap?$1.03May 15, 08:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 12?$1.08May 15, 02:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 12?$2.70May 15, 02:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on May 12?$2.39May 12, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 12?$0.34May 12, 03:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 12?$0.90May 12, 02:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 12?$2.24May 11, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 12?$1.00May 11, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 12?$1.03May 11, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C or below on May 12?$1.03May 11, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 12?$1.03May 11, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 12?$1.03May 11, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on May 12?$1.13May 11, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on May 12?$1.04May 11, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 12?$1.54May 11, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 12?$1.81May 11, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 12?$0.83May 11, 18:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 10?$0.13May 11, 04:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 10?$0.68May 11, 04:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $1.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 18:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 13:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".