Important-Propane
0x345d22bdb21bf703704fbca241cb5154ad904e41
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$371.12
Total PnL
$-7.9K
Realised
$-2.9K
Win rate
11%
99 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
168 shares @ 58.4¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$159.15
$60.77
- NO
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
133 shares @ 59.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$133.12
$54.31
- YES
Will any xAI Grok model score at least 30% on the FrontierMath Exam?
162 shares @ 17.5¢·now 48.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$77.60
$49.31
- YES
Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2026?
51 shares @ 7.7¢·now 2.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.25
$-2.67
- YES
Military action against Iran ends on March 27, 2026?
2868 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-56.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 82°F or higher on March 5?
2574 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-25.74
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
2092 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-19.54
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 1?
2046 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-29.80
- YES
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?
1952 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-19.46
- YES
Military action against Iran ends on March 25, 2026?
1385 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-12.57
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Chelsea win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?$12.87Apr 25, 17:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?$4.63Apr 12, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?$16.00Apr 12, 03:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?$243.62Apr 12, 01:57 UTC
- TRADESELLGPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?$63.97Apr 6, 22:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.57Apr 5, 14:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$14.38Apr 5, 03:37 UTC
- REDEEMSharks vs. Blues$6.17Apr 5, 02:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 5, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 4, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ghana win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.48Apr 3, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Seattle Kraken make the NHL Playoffs?$21.03Apr 2, 18:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 2, 00:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?$2.11Apr 1, 22:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.20Apr 1, 11:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.40Apr 1, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$5.19Apr 1, 02:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 1, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.16Apr 1, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.08Mar 31, 23:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $13.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 16:02 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 25, 17:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 99 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".