Uncomfortable-Jail
0x34a42279adc31650b5f80e80445ab37cf5754cc7
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-135.18
Realised
$20.89
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?
1357 shares @ 84.2¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$-36.51
- YES
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
306 shares @ 53.8¢·now 57.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$174.44
$9.88
- YES
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
550 shares @ 51.6¢·now 29.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$159.59
$-124.45
- YES
Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
275 shares @ 4.1¢·now 2.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.32
$-4.98
- YES
Will xAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
104 shares @ 2.0¢·now 2.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.09
$-0.05
- YES
Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
1 shares @ 7.5¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.15
$0.04
Recent activity
- MERGENew COVID variant of concern before 2027?$80.00May 17, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew COVID variant of concern before 2027?$21.98May 17, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew COVID variant of concern before 2027?$6.65May 17, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?$0.35May 16, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew COVID variant of concern before 2027?$16.20May 16, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew COVID variant of concern before 2027?$3.75May 16, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?$28.00May 16, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?$0.02May 16, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew COVID variant of concern before 2027?$44.64May 16, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew COVID variant of concern before 2027?$4.56May 15, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?$0.71May 15, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?$0.12May 15, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew COVID variant of concern before 2027?$14.40May 14, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew COVID variant of concern before 2027?$74.70May 14, 23:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?$3.83May 14, 21:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?$1.00May 13, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?$1.36May 10, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew COVID variant of concern before 2027?$12.20May 10, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew COVID variant of concern before 2027?$24.60May 10, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew COVID variant of concern before 2027?$6.81May 10, 06:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $13.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 00:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 22:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".