Warped-Variability
0x34a9b8ab09d930e9b14d01875e2364e3896a9e88
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$4.6K
Total PnL
$-15.4K
Realised
$-570.25
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
5117 shares @ 65.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.4K
$1.1K
- NO
Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4185 shares @ 9.9¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$209.23
$-203.46
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
16 shares @ 2.5¢·now 6.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.03
$0.64
- YES
Will a Black Spoon win season 2 of Culinary Class Wars?
74129 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-6.1K
- NO
Will a White Spoon win season 2 of Culinary Class Wars?
51495 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.3K
- NO
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
19230 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-242.07
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
15689 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-499.98
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?
13811 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-173.85
- YES
Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?
11499 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-340.23
- YES
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?
9670 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-81.54
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill a White Spoon win season 2 of Culinary Class Wars?$128.21Jan 12, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a White Spoon win season 2 of Culinary Class Wars?$330.40Jan 12, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Black Spoon win season 2 of Culinary Class Wars?$70.08Jan 12, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a White Spoon win season 2 of Culinary Class Wars?$125.26Jan 11, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a White Spoon win season 2 of Culinary Class Wars?$14.74Jan 11, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a White Spoon win season 2 of Culinary Class Wars?$7.39Jan 11, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Black Spoon win season 2 of Culinary Class Wars?$6.23Jan 11, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Black Spoon win season 2 of Culinary Class Wars?$6.99Jan 11, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Black Spoon win season 2 of Culinary Class Wars?$32.00Jan 11, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a White Spoon win season 2 of Culinary Class Wars?$79.02Jan 11, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a White Spoon win season 2 of Culinary Class Wars?$23.85Jan 11, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Black Spoon win season 2 of Culinary Class Wars?$100.54Jan 11, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Black Spoon win season 2 of Culinary Class Wars?$66.51Jan 11, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Black Spoon win season 2 of Culinary Class Wars?$108.81Jan 11, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Black Spoon win season 2 of Culinary Class Wars?$12.85Jan 11, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a White Spoon win season 2 of Culinary Class Wars?$133.06Jan 11, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a White Spoon win season 2 of Culinary Class Wars?$460.33Jan 11, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Black Spoon win season 2 of Culinary Class Wars?$400.85Jan 11, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Black Spoon win season 2 of Culinary Class Wars?$20.57Jan 11, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a White Spoon win season 2 of Culinary Class Wars?$18.83Jan 11, 00:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $128.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 9, 14:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 12, 08:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".