Productive-Brooch
0x34af3a317ccc5fbed5ed504d13a064ffa7f4bd55
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$15.1K
Total PnL
$-835.66
Realised
$184.12
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
4660 shares @ 97.4¢·now 99.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.6K
$71.32
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
3200 shares @ 93.2¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.1K
$117.80
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
2500 shares @ 97.8¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.5K
$20.16
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1290 shares @ 86.5¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$12.97
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
1100 shares @ 94.5¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.1K
$10.50
- NO
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
1011 shares @ 92.9¢·now 97.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$982.74
$43.96
- NO
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
1000 shares @ 90.1¢·now 91.6¢·exp May 19, 2026$916.06
$15.30
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
900 shares @ 85.5¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$778.50
$8.87
- YES
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
200 shares @ 88.5¢·now 36.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$73.00
$-104.00
- NO
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
15 shares @ 86.1¢·now 91.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.69
$0.77
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$243.24May 18, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$435.00May 18, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$435.00May 18, 00:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$22.76May 17, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$987.00May 17, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$0.10May 17, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$570.00May 17, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$988.00May 17, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$69.39May 17, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$22.39May 17, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?$51.01May 17, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?$22.26May 17, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$180.00May 17, 10:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$100.00May 17, 10:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$1.5KMay 17, 02:37 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.21May 17, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$62.67May 16, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$31.33May 16, 22:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $227.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 08:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".