Firm-Constellation
0x34c5aa2a6c4d2144674de5d4a62fa4384e3ec508
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
63
Open notional
$111.83
Total PnL
$-493.41
Realised
$-2.45
Win rate
42%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- YES
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-04-22?
48 shares @ 38.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$48.26
$29.92
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?
30 shares @ 70.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$24.15
$3.15
- YES
Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
312 shares @ 19.6¢·now 6.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.53
$-39.76
- OVER
Red Wings vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5
11 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$10.79
$4.64
- YES
Will Doug Jones win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?
7 shares @ 86.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 19, 2026$7.10
$0.93
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on April 9?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 7AM ET
155 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-6.59
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 10?
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
121 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
112 shares @ 28.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-32.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Athletic Club win on 2026-04-19?$4.38Apr 19, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Athletic Club win on 2026-04-19?$1.34Apr 19, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Athletic Club win on 2026-04-19?$0.57Apr 19, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Athletic Club win on 2026-04-19?$0.95Apr 19, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Athletic Club win on 2026-04-19?$3.81Apr 19, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Athletic Club win on 2026-04-19?$0.19Apr 19, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Athletic Club win on 2026-04-19?$0.19Apr 19, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Orlando City SC win on 2026-04-22?$6.13Apr 18, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Orlando City SC win on 2026-04-22?$0.33Apr 18, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Orlando City SC win on 2026-04-22?$5.78Apr 18, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Orlando City SC win on 2026-04-22?$1.82Apr 18, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Orlando City SC win on 2026-04-22?$4.28Apr 17, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$6.02Apr 15, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$6.25Apr 15, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$6.24Apr 15, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Criciúma EC (-1.5)$5.53Apr 15, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYRed Wings vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5$2.82Apr 15, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYRed Wings vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5$0.54Apr 15, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYRed Wings vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5$1.33Apr 15, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYRed Wings vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5$1.46Apr 15, 03:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $6.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 08:58 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 19, 22:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".