Bold-Establishment
0x34ce13ac856d9a97f9455ec05950b79479e39261
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$155.75
Total PnL
$-1.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?
300 shares @ 14.7¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$76.50
$32.50
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
200 shares @ 33.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$63.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 6.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.60
$-6.40
- YES
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
100 shares @ 22.0¢·now 2.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.65
$-19.35
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
200 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMPenguins vs. Oilers$0.00Apr 22, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$0.00Apr 22, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEMWarriors vs. Raptors$0.00Apr 22, 00:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 24?$0.00Apr 22, 00:04 UTC
- REDEEMDevils vs. Oilers$0.00Apr 22, 00:04 UTC
- REDEEMSeahawks vs. Patriots$0.00Apr 22, 00:04 UTC
- REDEEMSaints vs. Titans$0.00Apr 22, 00:04 UTC
- REDEEMRams vs. Bears$0.00Apr 22, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$66.00Apr 16, 07:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$15.00Apr 16, 07:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$26.00Apr 16, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in March 2026?$0.00Apr 1, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$0.04Apr 1, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.95Apr 1, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$3.01Apr 1, 14:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in March 2026?$100.00Apr 1, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in March 2026?$58.00Mar 30, 03:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 2?$0.00Mar 27, 10:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$66.16Mar 19, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Patriots$165.00Feb 8, 22:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $75.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 28, 14:05 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 22, 00:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".