Thoughtful-Estuary
0x34d8b93ef955ccc3fccdc393ae9247a4dc9bb9d4
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$748.26
Total PnL
$-55.47
Realised
$-2.52
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?
407 shares @ 98.8¢·now 98.6¢·exp May 22, 2026$400.95
$-1.02
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
318 shares @ 35.6¢·now 35.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$112.25
$-0.95
- YES
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
500 shares @ 24.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$97.50
$-22.50
- YES
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?
500 shares @ 14.2¢·now 11.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$55.50
$-15.50
- YES
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
211 shares @ 15.1¢·now 13.7¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$28.96
$-2.96
- YES
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 15%+?
57 shares @ 23.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$12.15
$-0.85
- YES
Will Hull City achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?
25 shares @ 33.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp May 25, 2026$7.88
$-0.38
- YES
Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?
25 shares @ 30.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$7.12
$-0.38
- YES
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
25 shares @ 24.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$5.88
$-0.13
- GHOOLS ESPORTS
Valorant: Joblife vs Ghools Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group D
24 shares @ 26.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$5.30
$-0.82
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Monza achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?$8.80May 18, 08:46 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?$26.87May 18, 08:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$22.28May 18, 08:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$1.00May 18, 07:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$11.35May 18, 07:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$1.73May 18, 07:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$1.00May 18, 06:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.22May 18, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hull City achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?$8.25May 18, 06:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$7.98May 18, 06:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$35.00May 18, 06:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$5.00May 18, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?$428.88May 18, 05:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$20.00May 18, 04:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$18.56May 18, 04:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$4.50May 18, 04:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$81.91May 18, 04:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$88.90May 18, 04:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.89May 18, 04:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$38.60May 18, 04:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $38.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 21:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".