Plastic-Larder
0x355e5ae20cc1a3a2164f818e4bac8d22dd72a038
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
73
Open notional
$16.3K
Total PnL
$513.26
Realised
$1.6K
Win rate
94%
47 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 73- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1400 shares @ 80.3¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$100.74
- NO
Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
1180 shares @ 84.3¢·now 94.2¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.1K
$116.63
- NO
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
2508 shares @ 53.5¢·now 43.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.1K
$-262.42
- NO
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
987 shares @ 83.8¢·now 81.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$799.53
$-27.61
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
2123 shares @ 55.3¢·now 35.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$762.12
$-411.44
- NO
Obama federally charged before 2027?
821 shares @ 67.9¢·now 92.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$756.27
$199.00
- NO
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
1075 shares @ 57.7¢·now 67.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$725.70
$105.64
- NO
Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
979 shares @ 76.3¢·now 73.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$714.41
$-32.86
- NO
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?
1234 shares @ 41.5¢·now 52.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$645.38
$133.37
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
2034 shares @ 34.3¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$640.79
$-57.76
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?$1.04May 18, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$15.86May 18, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$62.00May 18, 01:47 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.75May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$1.38May 17, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?$41.00May 17, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?$25.50May 17, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?$0.24May 17, 22:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?$13.20May 17, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?$110.06May 17, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?$17.00May 17, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?$25.12May 17, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Snapchat be acquired before 2027?$37.95May 17, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$23.73May 17, 20:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$366.08May 17, 20:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$33.26May 17, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$8.26May 17, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$25.50May 17, 20:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$4.71May 17, 20:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $23.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 19:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 47 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".