Admirable-Capon
0x3594526e2a0aaf467038ee1799d6ded344aedc58
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-9.5K
Realised
$-498.33
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
2885 shares @ 34.7¢·now 56.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.6K
$613.61
- YES
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?
385 shares @ 32.9¢·now 18.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$69.28
$-57.33
- NO
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
365 shares @ 36.5¢·now 18.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$68.90
$-64.10
- YES
GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?
14783 shares @ 24.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.6K
- NO
Israel military action on Yemen before June?
8559 shares @ 18.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.6K
- YES
Will António José Seguro win the second round by at least 50%?
5140 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-219.99
- NO
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
5000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before June?
4975 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-670.99
- NO
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?
4003 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?
2231 shares @ 22.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?$130.01May 17, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$136.38May 17, 02:40 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$266.24May 15, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$1.0KMay 15, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$307.88May 14, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$510.68May 14, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.8KMay 14, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.7KMay 8, 01:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$639.81May 8, 01:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$1.0KMay 8, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$705.25May 6, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$900.00May 6, 20:12 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$1.6KMay 2, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$1.4KApr 25, 00:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$1.4KApr 23, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$554.48Apr 19, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$554.48Apr 19, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?$507.17Apr 12, 21:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?$458.44Apr 12, 19:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tisza win at least 100 seats?$11.53Apr 12, 13:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $590.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 16:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 02:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".