Wet-Clam
0x3606f455cf588c84453f56e749cd15bca4f14e08
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$1.9K
Total PnL
$-25.34
Realised
$84.24
Win rate
75%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
400 shares @ 95.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$399.80
$17.80
- NO
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
889 shares @ 48.0¢·now 42.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$373.19
$-53.06
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
340 shares @ 95.4¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$324.86
$0.60
- YES
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
1031 shares @ 38.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$298.99
$-92.46
- YES
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 75.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$167.00
$17.00
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
110 shares @ 96.7¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$108.02
$1.62
- NO
Meta "Mango" model released by June 30?
70 shares @ 65.7¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$54.95
$8.95
- NO
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
60 shares @ 49.5¢·now 71.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$42.61
$12.90
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
51 shares @ 51.7¢·now 71.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$36.46
$10.10
- YES
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?
20 shares @ 65.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$10.70
$-2.30
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.89May 17, 07:13 UTC
- TRADESELLGrok 5 released by June 30, 2026?$4.60May 16, 21:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?$9.41May 16, 19:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?$6.78May 16, 19:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?$60.26May 16, 19:29 UTC
- REDEEMGPT-5.6 released by May 15, 2026?$126.72May 16, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLGrok 5 released by June 30, 2026?$6.38May 16, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELLGrok 5 released by June 30, 2026?$54.24May 15, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?$28.50May 15, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.96May 15, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$2.49May 15, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?$0.05May 15, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?$2.23May 15, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.30May 14, 23:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?$1.50May 14, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4.45May 13, 18:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$35.65May 13, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$26.00May 13, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$6.59May 13, 18:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?$4.60May 13, 01:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $42.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 00:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 07:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".